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235877

Quantum probabilities and the conjunction principle

Igor DouvenJos Uffink

pp. 109-114

Abstrakt

A recent argument by Hawthorne and Lasonen-Aarnio purports to show that we can uphold the principle that competently forming conjunctions is a knowledge-preserving operation only at the cost of a rampant skepticism about the future. A key premise of their argument is that, in light of quantum-mechanical considerations, future contingents never quite have chance 1 of being true. We argue, by drawing attention to the order of magnitude of the relevant quantum probabilities, that the skeptical threat of Hawthorne and Lasonen-Aarnio’s argument is illusory.

Publication details

Published in:

Peijnenburg Jeanne, Fitelson Branden, Douven Igor (2012) Probability, confirmation and fallacies. Synthese 184 (1).

Seiten: 109-114

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-009-9693-7

Referenz:

Douven Igor, Uffink Jos (2012) „Quantum probabilities and the conjunction principle“. Synthese 184 (1), 109–114.