Deutsche Gesellschaft
für phänomenologische Forschung

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183675

The angular distribution of asset returns in delay space

Roger Koppl

pp. 164-183

Abstrakt

In Chapter 7 I reported on a GARCH study of Yeager's ruble data. At least two considerations limit the value of that study. First, the GARCH model assumes that the underlying error term is normally distributed. But, as Broussard and Koppl (1999) report, Yeager's ruble returns exhibit kurtosis. The distribution of returns has fat tails; it is not a normal distribution. Second, the model assumes the data are continuous, not discrete. But the ruble data are discrete. The price of hundred-ruble notes moved in jumps of 0.05 marks. It is possible to overcome these two difficulties with non-parametric tools designed to handle discrete data. This chapter reports on a test for herding and contra-herding that uses such tools. It builds on Crack and Ledoit's (1996) analysis of the "compass rose."

Publication details

Published in:

Koppl Roger (2002) Big players and the economic theory of expectations. Dordrecht, Springer.

Seiten: 164-183

Referenz:

Koppl Roger (2002) The angular distribution of asset returns in delay space, In: Big players and the economic theory of expectations, Dordrecht, Springer, 164–183.